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Gulf Edition Editorial on August 2, 2026

Fastest-Rising Luxury Property Markets: Top 10

Japan, the UAE and the Philippines lead global luxury price growth in 2026. The full ranking of the fastest-rising luxury property markets, with the data behind each

Japanese city skyline at dusk, the world's fastest-rising luxury property market
10 min read

Global luxury home prices rose an average of 3.2% over the past year according to Knight Frank's Prime International Residential Index, and that headline number hides enormous variation. Some markets barely moved. One rose almost sixty per cent.

These are the ten countries posting the fastest luxury property price growth in the world right now, what is driving each one, and which of them look structurally durable rather than temporarily cheap.

Fastest-Growing Luxury Property Markets at a Glance

RankMarketPrime price growthPrincipal driver
1Japan (Tokyo)Up to 58.5% year on yearWeak yen drawing foreign buyers
2United Arab Emirates (Dubai)Up to 25.1% year on yearHigh-net-worth relocation, no property tax
3Philippines (Metro Manila)Around 21.2% year on yearInfrastructure and a growing wealthy population
4South Korea (Seoul)11% forecast for 2026Constrained prime supply
5Saudi ArabiaFastest-growing wealth hub through 2031Vision 2030 and new foreign ownership rules
6Hong Kong6.5% forecast for 2026Recovering sentiment
7VietnamOver 14% forecast for villasRapid wealth creation and new infrastructure
8Italy (Milan)Europe's top-ranked prime cityStructural demand, limited prime stock
9Portugal (Lisbon)Around 5.3% year on yearResidency incentives and lifestyle demand
10Spain (Marbella)Around 8.1% year on yearShortage of well-located prime homes

1. Japan: Up to 58.5% Year on Year

Nothing else on this list is close. Tokyo prime residential prices surged roughly 58.5% to 59% over the past year, by far the largest jump recorded anywhere in Knight Frank's Wealth Report 2026.

The driver is almost entirely currency. A persistently weak yen has turned Tokyo new-builds into a genuine bargain for dollar-denominated buyers, triggering a wave of international purchasing that local supply has not been able to absorb. That also defines the risk: a meaningful yen recovery removes the discount that created the surge, and much of the gain is denominated in a currency foreign owners will eventually convert back.

Why it is rising: a weak yen, foreign capital inflows and limited new luxury supply in central Tokyo.

2. United Arab Emirates: Up to 25.1% Year on Year

Dubai has cemented itself as the world's most active super-prime market, with luxury values climbing roughly 25.1% year on year per Knight Frank, while city-level indices put annual gains closer to 15% to 16% depending on methodology. Dubai is now the busiest global market for residential sales above $10 million, and the UAE is projected among the fastest-growing ultra-high-net-worth hubs worldwide through 2031.

Unlike Tokyo, the growth here is demand-led rather than currency-led: the dirham is pegged to the dollar, so foreign buyers are not chasing a discount. The branded residence segment has expanded fastest of all.

Why it is rising: continued relocation of high-net-worth individuals, no property tax, limited ultra-prime waterfront supply and branded residence expansion.

3. Philippines: Around 21.2% Year on Year

Metro Manila's luxury residential sector has quietly become one of the hottest in Asia, with prime prices climbing roughly 21.2% over the past year, outperforming established giants including Shanghai. Growth concentrates in precincts such as Bonifacio Global City, driven by infrastructure investment and a rapidly expanding high-net-worth population.

Why it is rising: new metro and road infrastructure, a growing wealthy population and strong appetite for branded luxury developments.

4. South Korea: 11% Forecast for 2026

Seoul is forecast to be the strongest-performing prime residential market globally across 2026 and 2027, with Knight Frank projecting an 11% rise this year followed by a further 6% next. That would place Seoul ahead of virtually every other major financial capital in the index.

Why it is rising: constrained prime supply, strong domestic wealth creation and growing international investor interest.

5. Saudi Arabia: The Coming Decade's Steepest Curve

Saudi Arabia does not yet post the highest single-year gain, but Knight Frank flags it as one of the fastest-growing ultra-high-net-worth population hubs globally through 2031, alongside Indonesia, Poland and Vietnam. That wealth creation arrives exactly as the Kingdom opens its property market to foreign ownership for the first time, setting up one of the steepest luxury growth curves of the coming decade in Riyadh and Jeddah.

Riyadh villa prices are growing at a steady 5% to 8% a year with yields around 6.9%, while Jeddah leads the Kingdom on rental yield at close to 9%. Our guide to where to invest in luxury villas covers both cities in detail.

Why it is rising: Vision 2030 infrastructure spending, new foreign ownership rules and rapid domestic wealth creation.

6. Hong Kong: 6.5% Forecast for 2026

After several difficult years, Hong Kong's prime residential market is forecast to grow 6.5% in 2026, supported by improving buyer sentiment and renewed demand for high-quality homes in established prime districts. This is a recovery story rather than a growth story, which makes the base effect flattering.

Why it is rising: recovering sentiment and demand rotating back toward established Asian financial hubs.

7. Vietnam: Villas and Landed Estates Forecast Above 14%

Overall market growth is more modest, but Vietnam's villa and landed-estate subsector is projected to grow more than 14%, among the fastest niche growth rates tracked anywhere. It is driven by a high-net-worth population projected to approach 26,000 individuals alongside major infrastructure investment opening new premium corridors.

Why it is rising: a fast-growing wealthy population, new infrastructure and rising demand for branded luxury villas.

8. Italy: Milan Leads Europe

Milan is forecast to remain Europe's highest-ranked prime residential city across Knight Frank's 2026 and 2027 outlook, outperforming other major European financial capitals. This is structural demand rather than a spike: a limited stock of genuinely prime apartments, a deep domestic wealth base in fashion and finance, and a favourable tax regime for relocating high earners.

Why it is rising: sustained international demand, limited high-quality prime stock and a strong wealth base.

9. Portugal: Lisbon Up Around 5.3%

Portugal outperformed most Western European peers over the past year, with Lisbon prime prices rising around 5.3%, enough to place it among the world's top ten cities for luxury price growth, ahead of Paris, London and New York.

Why it is rising: residency incentives, lifestyle appeal and entry prices below its Western European rivals.

10. Spain: Marbella Leads the Country

Spain does not top global rankings nationally, but its standout micro-market does. Marbella posted prime residential growth of roughly 8.1% over the past year according to Knight Frank's Wealth Report, placing it in the top tier of the Prime International Residential Index and making it the steepest riser of any Spanish municipality above 50,000 residents.

Why it is rising: a structural shortage of well-located prime homes, sustained international demand and safe-haven appeal.

What Is Driving Growth Globally

Currency and rate dynamics matter enormously. Japan's outlier growth is almost entirely a function of the weak yen, which proves currency movement can outweigh even the strongest fundamentals elsewhere. It also means the gain is not the same thing as a gain in your own currency.

Wealth is being created faster than housing supply. Knight Frank estimates roughly 89 new ultra-high-net-worth individuals are created globally every day, with the global population up 32% since 2021, demand that consistently outpaces the supply of genuinely prime, move-in-ready homes.

The Middle East is the standout region, not only Dubai. The wider Middle East posted 9.4% regional growth, the strongest of any region tracked, with the UAE as the engine and Saudi Arabia positioned as the next story.

Secondary markets are catching up fast. Indonesia, Poland, Vietnam and Saudi Arabia are all flagged as the next wave of fast-growing wealth hubs, meaning today's emerging luxury markets may be tomorrow's headline performers.

A high growth number tells you what already happened. What matters is whether the thing that caused it is still there.

How to Read These Numbers Before You Buy

Percentages vary by index methodology and reporting period, and a national figure rarely describes a specific street. Three checks are worth doing before acting on any of this.

Separate currency gains from asset gains. A 58% rise driven by a weak local currency is not a 58% rise for a foreign buyer who will eventually convert back.

Check whether the figure is recorded or forecast. Japan, the UAE, the Philippines, Portugal and Spain above are realised growth. South Korea, Hong Kong and Vietnam are forecasts, which are estimates rather than outcomes.

Confirm what foreigners can actually own. Ownership rules differ sharply by market, from full freehold to leasehold and right-to-use structures. Our explainer on freehold versus leasehold covers why that distinction changes the asset you are buying, and the same logic applies wherever you are looking.

The Bottom Line

Luxury real estate growth is no longer confined to New York, London and Paris. Currency shifts made Tokyo the runaway winner, the UAE and the Philippines rode strong regional wealth creation, and markets such as Saudi Arabia and Vietnam are only getting started. For investors looking at where the next decade of growth comes from, the Middle East and Southeast Asia are the two regions to watch, with the important difference that the Gulf's growth rests on demand and tax structure rather than a currency discount that can reverse.

To compare what is available now, browse the current luxury homes and villas for sale or read more analysis in the Real Estate journal.

Growth figures are drawn from Knight Frank's Wealth Report and Prime International Residential Index alongside supplementary regional market data. Percentages vary by index methodology and reporting period. This article is general information only and is not investment advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which country has the fastest-rising luxury property prices?

Japan. Tokyo prime residential prices rose roughly 58.5% to 59% over the past year, by far the largest increase recorded in Knight Frank's Wealth Report 2026. The rise is driven mainly by a weak yen making Tokyo property cheap for dollar-denominated buyers.

How fast are luxury property prices rising in Dubai?

Luxury values in the UAE climbed up to 25.1% year on year according to Knight Frank, with city-level indices putting Dubai closer to 15% to 16% depending on methodology. Dubai is also the world's busiest market for residential sales above $10 million.

What is the PIRI 100?

The Prime International Residential Index, published by Knight Frank as part of its Wealth Report. It tracks luxury residential price movement across 100 markets worldwide. Global prime prices rose an average of 3.2% over the past year on that index.

Is Japan's growth sustainable?

That depends on the yen. Because the surge is largely a currency effect rather than a domestic demand story, a meaningful yen recovery would remove the discount attracting foreign buyers. A foreign owner should also treat the headline percentage carefully, since part of the gain sits in a currency they will eventually convert back.

Which region is growing fastest overall?

The Middle East, at 9.4% regional growth, the strongest of any region tracked. The UAE is the engine, and Saudi Arabia is positioned as the next major growth story now that foreign ownership is permitted.

Where should I invest in luxury property in 2026?

It depends on your objective. The UAE offers demand-led growth with no property tax and a dollar-pegged currency. Saudi Arabia offers the steepest potential curve for buyers comfortable with a young market. Milan, Lisbon and Marbella offer steadier European appreciation. Vietnam and the Philippines offer higher growth with higher execution risk.

Why is so much new wealth chasing luxury property?

Knight Frank estimates roughly 89 new ultra-high-net-worth individuals are created globally every day, with the global population up 32% since 2021. Genuinely prime, move-in-ready homes are not being created at anything close to that pace, and that gap is the main structural driver behind prices across this list.

Are these figures recorded growth or forecasts?

Both, and the distinction matters. Japan, the UAE, the Philippines, Portugal and Spain are realised growth over the past year. South Korea, Hong Kong and Vietnam are forecasts for 2026 and beyond, which are estimates and can be revised.

Can foreigners buy property in these markets?

Rules differ sharply. The UAE offers freehold ownership to all nationalities in designated areas, and Saudi Arabia has recently opened to foreign ownership. Several Asian markets restrict foreigners to leasehold or right-to-use structures rather than outright title, so confirm the ownership form before committing to any market on this list.

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